Search found 25 matches

by snapple
Thu Dec 19, 2019 4:45 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: Pinnacle odds / PLP Calculations not matching up
Replies: 11
Views: 14087

Re: Pinnacle odds / PLP Calculations not matching up

I also really enjoy the site but I often wonder about the "edges" that aren't directly derived from existing betting markets. I understand comparing an NHL moneyline but struggle to understand how to calculate a cbb tie, for example... It's clear that some things are wrong - I just wonder how many o...
by snapple
Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:46 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: Pinnacle odds / PLP Calculations not matching up
Replies: 11
Views: 14087

Re: Pinnacle odds / PLP Calculations not matching up

Just wanted to follow up on this topic since it doesn't look like there is much interest. In BC today the Col=CSU tie is listed as a play on PLP and it cites PINNACLE line of -4.5. However Pinnacle does not offer that # anywhere on their site. The correct odds appear to be -6.5 and it can be bought...
by snapple
Tue Dec 10, 2019 12:50 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: Pinnacle odds / PLP Calculations not matching up
Replies: 11
Views: 14087

Re: Pinnacle odds / PLP Calculations not matching up

#1: WCLC NHL tie #s These do not match up with Pinny regulation time odds. Ties are less likely using Pinny regulation time odds vs the PLP odds. As a result, calculations of tie-unders are wrong (looks like plays when there are not plays), and the likelihood of teams winning in regulation (usually...
by snapple
Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:34 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: WCLC & ALC - NYR-Dal Tie
Replies: 2
Views: 5079

Re: WCLC & ALC - NYR-Dal Tie

Same thing with Pit-Stl tie today
by snapple
Tue Jan 17, 2017 4:14 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: WCLC & ALC - NYR-Dal Tie
Replies: 2
Views: 5079

WCLC & ALC - NYR-Dal Tie

As of the 259 PM EST PLP update, the PLP calculated "true" odds on Dal=NYR in WCLC and ALC (after 60 minutes) is 4.84. The Pinny odds are 1.288/4.03 which would put the Pinny calculated "true" odds at 4.13. This is a fairly large discrepancy. Any thoughts on why this is happening/ which line should ...
by snapple
Fri Jan 13, 2017 8:01 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: Chi-Wsh U5.5 - WCLC & BCLC
Replies: 1
Views: 3745

Chi-Wsh U5.5 - WCLC & BCLC

I am looking at the total odds for Chi-Wsh on WCLC & BCLC (as of 6:41 pm EST update). The WCLC odds for Chi-Wsh U5.5 are 1.54 and the odds are 1.61 in BCLC. I can't think of any rules in the jurisdictions that would lead to different probabilities of the events occurring. Using Pinny odds the WCLC l...
by snapple
Mon Nov 21, 2016 5:07 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: WCLC - Arkansas State vs. Troy State
Replies: 4
Views: 7687

Re: WCLC - Arkansas State vs. Troy State

Thanks for responding, mlansky. Much appreciated.
by snapple
Mon Nov 21, 2016 5:06 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: Winning picks...not a winner?
Replies: 3
Views: 6605

Re: Winning picks...not a winner?

I've accidentally tried to cash tickets that I have already cashed. For a certain time period immediately after the machine reads "already cashed". After that the machine reads "not a winner". Maybe you already cashed the tickets a few months ago?
by snapple
Thu Nov 17, 2016 11:53 pm
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: WCLC - Arkansas State vs. Troy State
Replies: 4
Views: 7687

WCLC - Arkansas State vs. Troy State

Does anyone know why this game was cancelled in WCLC? Based on the odds listed on PLP: 56 Cfb 8:30 PM Arkansas TroySt 480 440 135 55.5 170 170 -8.5 nothing is significantly off market and the game is listed as starting as the correct time. On the WCLC website it reads: Important! Football Game #56 A...
by snapple
Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:31 am
Forum: Proline Picks and Plays
Topic: POINTSPREAD GAMES LIST Monday, February 15 2016
Replies: 4
Views: 6799

Re: POINTSPREAD GAMES LIST Monday, February 15 2016

Richhhh- According to SBRODDS ( http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ ) the line moved at 652 pm. I'm not positive but I think the PLP update was at 657 pm. Unlike NHL, MLB, NFL, NBA, usually college basketball lines get taken down on the hour, so the line wouldn't have moved after 7 pm. Not...