prolineplayer.com - The Forum

These guys made a billion dollars with poisson. https://people.maths.ox.ac.uk/siamstude ... t_Talk.pdf

Not joking. 1 billion.

The owner Matthew Benham owns a fc club in london.

lol I see bob walking his dog every day in Vancouver. Completely unapproachable, lives in a swanky 3 million dollar home in Coal harbour so he made his money. What a lot of people don't know is that he didnt really make all his millions gambling, he actually owned a sports book which he later sold t...

Im back and this time I am armed with a crap ton of code and data to help win in MLB. here is where I live. line-breaker.tumblr.com I am developing a pitch physics method from the pitchFX using some data science techniques to develop different methods of getting +EV. Controversially, I also am devel...

matty, dm me your gmail on twitter and ill pop you some data. believe it or not, the window of data is relevant because pitchers go on hot and cold streaks but there is a functional relationship between periodicity of data and predictive efficiency of the historical data set. to be fair i didnt expl...

PLP, your response it thoughtful and I need a little time to be better at explaining my thoughts. one thing I can answer is yes absolutely the process is determined at random without respect to dodgers batting. this is because we assume as a condition of optimization that the dodgers are a completel...

I apologize for our province.

oh i see mattyKGB. yes in the case of the close games where the vig creates negative expectation on both sides here is our heuristic. surprisingly it creates a small edge across 2150 games of baseball this season A) bet the home team always unless B) B) if the pitcher is a new pitcher, bet the exper...

Matty to wrap up, well have to drink that scotch to debate the Pinny mechanics. if the square liquidity overcomes the sharp liquidity by several factors, then normal market effects apply and the price will shift according to the weight of money. pinnacle should work like this because they will NOT l...

I disagree with this too. If the Dodgers played against Houston 162 times a year and if they got to send Kershaw to the mound 162 times against Houston's #5 starter 162 times, it's likely that the Dodgers would win far more than 100 games. So it's quite possible that a team could have >62.5% win pr...

I strongly disagree with both of these points. If the heavy favourites are "juiced" because of public action, then A) there would be a clear pattern of favs becoming heavier throughout the day, and B) enough sharps would take advantage of this pattern to return the odds to equilibrium. I am very fa...