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Very generous of you. Thanks very much for all that you do for the ProLine community.

pedge wrote:31V
32H
24V
29V
25H

ticket #2:
22H
23H
25H
27V
32H

Second ticket looks much better than the first. Here are the numbers, based on the pinnacle lines:

Ticket #1 win frequency = 3.43%, edge -31%
Ticket #2 win frequency = 5.43%, edge +8.5%

Stuck since 4:03pm

Yeah at the beginning it was that simple, but when they started throwing in push lines + shading everything against the unders, it became a little tougher. Often there was negative value on the TU but positive on a side+over. Yes, side/overs were good to me also. I definitely got the impression, ba...

MattyKGB wrote:

sharpedgepicks wrote:Curious how you guys modeled the value of the tie & under?

Simple Poisson model. Nothing super fancy but good enough for +35% ROI over the 6 months.

Poisson was not required. Just go to betfair and find out probability of 0-0 and 1-1.

Wake before seven
So many ticket limits
Damn you leoj

I think that anyone who takes gambling seriously will tell you that the closing line is more accurate than the opening line. And if you think about it, that is the only thing that makes sense. If the opening line were sharper, then there would be a simple scheme to make money. Make a note of the ope...

pedge wrote:good luck with arizona ppl. I'm never touching an edge with arizona again.

Whatever floats your boat, I guess. When I see an edge I play it. Doesn't really matter what team it is.

Oh I see the problem. PLP page has them all listed for Dec 31, but in fact most of the games are on Jan 1, 2 etc. And therefore it's not picking up the game line from Pinnacle.

I don't follow College Football much at all, so maybe I'm missing something here, but...

Why would there be no lines posted for so many of tomorrow's bowl games? Seems very odd to me.