Hi,
I was wondering if you could divulge what you use as the baseline for point %s for your player props calculations. I'm currently using projections from Puck Prospectus, but I've heard of using last year's %s with a mix of this year's results. I'm getting numbers for the Spezza WC prop that are 5-6% pts off, which isn't a lot, but certainly makes a huge difference whether you bet a side or not.
Thanks,
Lou
NHL Player H2H Props
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Re: NHL Player H2H Props
thincutting wrote:Hi,
I was wondering if you could divulge what you use as the baseline for point %s for your player props calculations. I'm currently using projections from Puck Prospectus, but I've heard of using last year's %s with a mix of this year's results. I'm getting numbers for the Spezza WC prop that are 5-6% pts off, which isn't a lot, but certainly makes a huge difference whether you bet a side or not.
Thanks,
Lou
The program uses results from the last 80 games played. The games are however assigned different weights depending on things like last year or current year.
I don't know if you're aware of the discussions that were held on bigtip years back as to how to handicap these, but a lot of the methods used by the program are the result of those.
PLP