Buf/Mtl odds

Any questions, comments about the odds/edges pages of the prolineplayer.com web site
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thincutting
Posts: 4
Joined: Wed Oct 02, 2013 9:38 am

Buf/Mtl odds

Post by thincutting » Tue Feb 03, 2015 7:36 pm

Currently seeing Buffalo in regulation at :

Buffalo 9.26 10.8%
Tie 4.59 21.8%
Montreal 1.48 67.4%

But Buff -1.5 on Pinny is 10.25/1.07, or 9.5%. Even if you use a logarithmic vig filter, you still get something that makes the odds of Buffalo by 1 in regulation something like 1-2%, which seems awfully low if they're 11% to ship in reg.

Are the regulation odds pulled from somewhere or is this a calculation based on historical numbers which I should disregard because it's such an outlier? Big hugs bruhs.

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richhhh
Posts: 2475
Joined: Sun Nov 03, 2013 7:01 pm

Re: Buf/Mtl odds

Post by richhhh » Tue Feb 03, 2015 9:26 pm

Somewhere you are making a mistake as Buffalo Could not of payed 9.00 to win in regulation

snapple
Posts: 25
Joined: Sat Jun 01, 2013 6:00 pm

Re: Buf/Mtl odds

Post by snapple » Tue Feb 03, 2015 10:02 pm

If you look at the ALC odds (which are regulation only), the "correct odds" on Buffalo is 9.19. This doesn't make sense to me either. As a point of reference, Betfair had Buffalo at 6.4 back/ 7.6 lay for its 60 minute lines.

draymondchm
Posts: 14
Joined: Mon Feb 02, 2015 2:41 pm

Re: Buf/Mtl odds

Post by draymondchm » Sun Feb 22, 2015 8:55 am

This was a good one. I can still vividly remember this match!
Looking for a good strategy. Image

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