Cappersmall Sept 22, 2023 Friday

[red_falcon]

Hello fellow cappers!

I'd like to give a warm welcome to ex-cappersmall folks. It's always good to add extra handicapping and ideas.

Last week, I think a few of you guys noticed FanDuel had to cough up more than 20 million dollars on an NFL prop bet.
What was the bet you asked?

FanDuel is kicking itself because of a prop bet involving NFL kickers that cashed Sunday.
The sportsbook said it paid out more than $20 million to bettors who wagered “Each team scores 1+ field goal in the 1 p.m. (ET), 4:05 p.m. (ET) & 4:25 p.m. (ET) games.”
The prop was listed at 200-1 odds before getting as low as 130-1.
One bettor identified as @JDGoldBoys on X, formerly known as Twitter, cashed two separate bets on the prop for a total of more than $318,000.
DraftKings offered the same prop but priced it at 30-1, according to the New York Post.

The prop cashed on Graham Gano’s 34-yard field goal with 19 seconds remaining that gave the Giants a 31-28 come-from-behind win over the Cardinals during the afternoon slate of games.
Bettors also benefited in the afternoon when the Jets couldn’t find the end zone at the end of the second quarter of their 30-10 loss to the Cowboys and nearly had a pass intercepted before settling for a field goal before the half.

https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/be ... t-2907259/

PS- I did not play this as I didn't know the true odds, but would I have if I knew? hell ya! lol

Red. =)

[red_falcon]

So you're probably wondering why did I post this FanDuel prop? Well, it turns out
there is another prop promo going on this week for the 9 1pm games, but instead of field goals per game it's over +1.5 rushing touchdowns!

As usual, FD does offer it but its not that great in terms of odds +130.
Another book, Bet 365 offers it too but only betting $10 to win $2000 or +200 odds?
The trick is if you manually add over +1.5 rushing TD to every 1pm game (9 games in total), the odds go past +200 to +240!

Best of all, Bet365 also has a promo right now, play $20 and get $10 back win or lose. So best play is $20 for +240 odds or $4800, and get your $10 of your original $20 bet back. Not too shabby baby! lol


Red. =)

[bangminton]

Hey red, I believe that FD parlay was discussed in a Discord channel, great hit for the lads!

Can you post links to the Discord channels that you frequent to seek value plays and other tidbits? Have you come across anything that focuses on beating the OLG or are these channels for any and all books under the sun?

[red_falcon]

Hi Bang,
Sure!

Two of the common ones to follow for Bet365, FanDuel, Proline+ is below.
I think should people be too scared to play and stuff, simply do Bet365 boosts according to their bankrolls (i.e.
3% max of bank rolls), and you should be okay I think.

betstamp discord: --> Proline+, Fan Duel, Bet 365, DK, etc...
--> also good for SGP ideas and suggestions, and any good Boosts over 10% EV
discord.gg/Zqb5p9fM

Value Beaver Discord: --> Cdn content for Fanduel, Bet 365, DK, etc....
discord.gg/DywWFqvrvg

very useful and helps get an idea what to look for:


Red. =)

[Biffalo Buff]

Looks like someone cleared out their Proline points. NBAstore.ca is the only gift card left at the moment. I'm sure they will reload shortly. They seem to have pretty strong language against creating multiple accounts which has deterred me so far. But the alternative may be collecting points that simply don't get used, or that all get dumped on the monthly draws. Is scanning tickets to two accounts using the same IP address excessively risky? I wouldn't want to get blacklisted by the Points program. Or by OLG itself. I am probably over thinking this. Decisions, decisions.

[bangminton]

Looks like someone cleared out their Proline points. NBAstore.ca is the only gift card left at the moment. I'm sure they will reload shortly. They seem to have pretty strong language against creating multiple accounts which has deterred me so far. But the alternative may be collecting points that simply don't get used, or that all get dumped on the monthly draws. Is scanning tickets to two accounts using the same IP address excessively risky? I wouldn't want to get blacklisted by the Points program. Or by OLG itself. I am probably over thinking this. Decisions, decisions.

Hey Biff, the maximum points that can be accumulated in a given account is 250K points so I am contemplating a second account, for my spouse as well.

I will have to review the T&C but I don't see an issue having another account for family members. As much as I like them to continue this program, I don't see how it can be sustainable. I am sure they have volume discount with these various organizations for gift cards but this is not unlimited resources and I am sure demand far outweighs supply...

[richhhh]

What the hell happen to private messages?


I am going to have to agree with Bang here this is not sustainable. Cash those points now and fast. Screw the draws and your accounts..

I have a funny story I am going to have to limit details for several reasons. Nevertheless OLG is asking for footage like the old days. They got me beyond a reasonable doubt I am 50 people. Card were at 100 stock a bit ago.Biff I give you couple hours and willl leave you 50 nfl @ nhl gift cards after that your on your own

[richhhh]

I started creating the accounts Biff and redeeming. Pro Tip use Bandminton name or Red's name. I like to use your name so its look like it is you not me. I try to get the details close as possible name/street/etc...

[Biffalo Buff]

No private messages anymore? I guess I’ll have to finally getting around to creating an account on the platform formerly know as Twitter. I understand only so much can be posted publicly and with only the slightest amount of detective work OLG could probably put a name and a city to each of us if they were so inclined.

[bangminton]

I guess PLP may be lying on a beach somewhere?

There are guys who have created an account on this forum to discuss points angle but it's still waiting for approval from the Administrator (PLP himself).

He made and Dilbert a moderator of this forum a long time ago but I don't have that permissions to approve new members and/or enable private messaging (if that has been disabled, I will have to check).