PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, Oct 08

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tshi2015
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Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2014 11:23 am

PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, Oct 08

Post by tshi2015 » Wed Oct 08, 2014 7:07 am

PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, October 08 2014 1 Plekanec,T ShotsOnGoal 2.5 160 180 2 VanRiemsdy ShotsOnGoal 4.0 175 165 3 Lupul,J ShotsOnGoal 3.5 200 150 4 Subban,P Assists 0.5 180 160 5 Kadri,N Assists 0.5 200 150 6 Pacioretty Goals 0.5 210 145 7 Kessel,P Goals 0.5 200 150 8 Toronto BlockedShots 15.5 160 180 9 Montreal FaceOffsWon 31.5 165 175 10 Toronto FaceOffsWon 32.5 165 175 11 Montreal Saves 28.5 170 170 12 Toronto Saves 30.5 170 170

P-Line Pinner
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Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 2:59 pm

Re: PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, Oc

Post by P-Line Pinner » Wed Oct 08, 2014 8:55 am

Based on PLP #'s, the obvious correlated play would be the two big edges of 1u-12u (Plec SOG + Leafs saves)

Can we really trust the Leafs have changed their ways from last year, and not give up 35+ SOG/game?

P-Line Pinner
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Re: PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, Oc

Post by P-Line Pinner » Wed Oct 08, 2014 9:17 am

Don Best has Bozak as "Questionable" as of 10/05 - anyone know his current status?

If he's out, TOR FOW under could be a good play. Kessel listed as "Probable" as well.

bangminton
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Re: PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, Oc

Post by bangminton » Wed Oct 08, 2014 10:15 am

Not home so I don't have access to my numbers but we know there's a bias for blocked shots. The crew doing the job is most likely the same from last year. Anyone got an edge for Over or Under?

lonewarrior
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Joined: Mon Nov 18, 2013 5:54 pm

Re: PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, Oc

Post by lonewarrior » Wed Oct 08, 2014 10:20 am

bangminton wrote:Not home so I don't have access to my numbers but we know there's a bias for blocked shots. The crew doing the job is most likely the same from last year. Anyone got an edge for Over or Under?
I believe bias is mainly used for evaluating visiting teams. For home teams you can simply take whatever # is given in the stats and adjusted for factors that you would think are relevant.
Last edited by lonewarrior on Wed Oct 08, 2014 10:22 am, edited 1 time in total.

Statsguy9
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Re: PROPS CARD 29 Hockey Montreal - Toronto Wednesday, Oc

Post by Statsguy9 » Wed Oct 08, 2014 10:22 am

The leafs averaged 15.5 blocked shots last season

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